https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/08/17/belarus-is-so-awkward-trump-right-now/
Currently there are reports that Russia has dispatched military columns to the border of Belarus, and has pledged to help Lukashenko "protect democracy." Putin himself recently enjoyed an election win, with a believable 105% of the democratic vote.
Lukashenko himself has not been popular with Russia's government, however, and was most recently invited to Russia for an event where he and his young son were treated like guests in the movie "Dinner for Schmucks." I would not be surprised if Russia's ultimate plan for Lukashenko ends up the same as Yanukovych, whose whereabouts are not exactly known.
The TL;DR version of what’s happening in Belarus: Alexander Lukashenko has been in power for a quarter-century, sustaining the legitimacy of his rule through rigged elections and Soviet-style equality of misery. In the presidential election last week against tough challenger Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, “it appears likely that, if they were actually counted, Tsikhanouskaya would prove the winner,” according to Masha Gessen in the New Yorker. Instead, Lukashenko was declared the winner by an absurd vote margin amid accusations of widespread fraud, a media crackdown and Tsikhanouskaya fleeing the country.
Currently there are reports that Russia has dispatched military columns to the border of Belarus, and has pledged to help Lukashenko "protect democracy." Putin himself recently enjoyed an election win, with a believable 105% of the democratic vote.
Lukashenko himself has not been popular with Russia's government, however, and was most recently invited to Russia for an event where he and his young son were treated like guests in the movie "Dinner for Schmucks." I would not be surprised if Russia's ultimate plan for Lukashenko ends up the same as Yanukovych, whose whereabouts are not exactly known.