You're still missing something.
I said, "real bout 2 special". That's not a real game.
I pointed that out in your original thread by going "OMG RBS2!?
I have real bout special and real bout 2, I understand what you meant here, but yeah before I didn't notice at first. Still not related to the price guide though.
RBFF2S notwithstanding, an updated price guide will be a meaningless gesture at this point. Prices are all over the place for the high dollar games. You can't possibly put an accurate value on something that only sells a handful of times a year, if that. How do you know the eBay sale wasn't shill bidded or even completed? Only confirmed forum sales between trusted parties could be used and there simply isn't the volume to get values for anything except commons.
I actually think I could put a price on a game that was only sold one or two times a year. The game would be worth the price -10%. I'm also not 100% shill bidding would even matter. Even if it was shilled someone still paid that price. If the shill bidder actually won, then the price would either be
1. way higher and not taken into account.
Or
2. About the same as all the others.
Obviously if a blazing star sells one day for $7000.00, and a week later for $4500.00, then the lower price would be chosen in case it was shill bid. I could easily put a price on something like Magical Chase with manual, which is only sold a few times a year. It would be 4k -10% --- or $3600.00. Would be the same for neo geo games. I would also price most of my stuff based on sellers in the USA and Japan, and the UK. Not France or Spain, unless there was no other solid information to go by.
I also would go by mainly ended auctions with bids, instead of buy it now, unless there is very consistent buy it now information with many sales about the same.
Hey greedo, what's my VG+ condition Pulstar full MVS kit with matching serials worth these days?
Forum price and Jewbay price?
As stated earlier I wouldn't mess with kit prices. Unless very common easily found kits.
I think the market here does a pretty good job of regulating itself, regardless of an outdated price guide. The 2 carts I put up moved quickly because I went below what I found to be market price based on my research of past sales. Wyo brings up a good point, there is fluctuation with teh rarez so it's hard to say what a reasonable price may be, especially if you have a handful of people who've been waiting 6 months for a certain title to show up. One could price a cart higher and it'll move, put up that same cart at the same price when nobody is looking/has the spare cash, a seller may not get as much.
The ultimate goal of the price guide would not to be 100% accurate, just more accurate than it is now, and actually updated more than once every few years. We could easily post a new thread, or keep it in the what's it worth thread, for members to notify me if games are rising fast, or declining.