Good Stuff, should be interesting. Who do you think is going to win Fami?
I suspect Wilder will get out-boxed until he suddenly and violently knocks Fury out.
I think Wilder's rematch with Ortiz will be telling.
In his first fight with Bermane Stiverne, when he first won his WBC Championship, Wilder went to a 12 round UD win.
When he rematched Stiverne, he destroyed him. Three knockdowns in a first round knockout.
The first fight with Ortiz, Wilder was in a war until he won with a 10th round knockout. Ortiz was down 3 times in the fight but he rocked Wilder badly at the end of the 7th and nearly got the KO.
If Wilder wrecks Ortiz in 5 rounds or less, I think it's a good sign he'll fight much better against Fury. Ortiz is a highly skilled fighter and if Wilder handles him easily it's a sign that his own skills have improved after the tough Ortiz and Fury fights the first time around.
Wilder's keys to beating Fury:
-Come in heavier. He was at his career lightest in the first Fury fight, and was like 13 pounds heavier when he blasted Breazeale out of there earlier this year.
-Better cardio. Wilder is known for his great gas tank, but missing so many haymakers will tire anybody out. If Wilder wasn't gassed in that 12th I don't think Fury undertakers his way back to his feet after that knockdown.
-Use more jabs, to the body and the head. Wilder is known for his savage windmill right hands but he actually possesses a fantastic jab as well. But after the first few rounds in the first fight Wilder just went head hunting. He needs to put together his combinations and be more patient.
The biggest thing for Wilder is that he knows he can hurt Fury but Fury can't really hurt him. He has to be smarter and more patient.
Fury's keys to beating Wilder:
-Keep moving. Can't afford to get caught.
-Keep firing that jab. He out-skilled Wilder easily in the first fight but the bottom line is he only landed like 12 more punches than Wilder throughout the fight. Because every shot Wilder lands is dangerous and eye-catching, Fury is going to have to out-land him significantly. If Fury lands 10-20 more jabs throughout that first fight he probably gets the decision.
-Don't get cocky. If he loses focus and showboats for a single second Wilder can put his lights out. Fury had no business getting caught like he did in round 12.
Another thing I think is telling is that Fury is the one who pulled out of the immediate rematch negotiations to fight Tom Schwarz and likely another nobody. He is the one who is acting like he lost the fight, taking on no-hopers to rebuild his confidence and not blow his rematch payday.
On the other hand, Wilder fought his mandatory challenger, who was consensus top 10 in Breazeale, and destroyed him. But then he chose Luis Ortiz, who is a consensus top 5 fighter as his voluntary while he waits for Fury.
Ortiz is a live dog and a threat to KO anybody on any given night. He could beat Wilder and fuck up the rematch, he would likely waste Joshua or Ruiz, and he'd haze a chance against Fury.
So to me, Wilder is acting like the fighter who won and who expects to continue to be the champion.
Fury is acting like the fighter who thinks his days are numbered and wants to cash out fighting bums before he gets slept.
