I admit to assuming a lot, but I hedged several up rather than down (such as a 4x multiplier for an annual death total when in reality, 500k is not a 3 month total but a 4, 6, or even 9 month total depending on where we count the 'start'). The point is, to get to totals that would sound like a threat to human existence things will have to get not just worse than we are seeing, but catastrophically worse. Meanwhile, our county is reporting record case totals, but few hospitalizations and no deaths for at least a week or more I believe. Despite adding a couple thousand cases, we still have just over 400 hospitalizations and just under 200 deaths.
As STK mentioned, your controlled economy doesn't just tell the franchise owners to sit on a roll of quarters and get fucked, it puts hundreds or thousands more people out of work per venue and the immediate area surrounding these stadiums will hurt financially as well even if they aren't directly associated with the team.
I'm curious how far down the list you would go to say who had 'enough' and can be forfeited to the needs of the many. I'm also curious what happens in 2021? 2022? When are we good to go? When we get a vaccine I guess? We don't have unlimited resources and economic harm can be just as devastating as debilitating disease.
I think you're letting too much of your views on municipal funding for bullshit like stadiums (which is bullshit of course), but that seems like a different conversation. Of course my posts are possibly better in the covid thread, but eh.
When we get a vaccine is right. The mortality rate alone doesn't tell the story of people who survived infection only to have potential long lasting complications to their respiratory and vascular systems.
As for the numbers issue, we currently have 11.6m cases, 538k deaths, 6.5m recovered. May 1st, the death total was about 240k. so if we are increasing at a rate 224% every two months, how many people would be dead in 12 months? 13.5m in 12 months, potentially. 1.7B in 24 months. In 28 months of the same rate of incline, we would have surpassed 7b people.
But let's just look at infectivity instead, and ignore lethality. Jan 22 we had 580 cases. 78.6k on February 22. 337k on march 22. 2.6m on April 22. 5.26m on may 22, 9.17m on June 22. And this is assuming that millions of people in China didn't die over this period - they just cancelled their phone subs. Let's say that the infectivity continues at this rate, unabated because we are opening up. Rich people gotta eat, but also, rich people don't want to be subsidizing the poor people, who also gotta eat. Somewhere in August 2021 we would reach the point where about 99% of the world population has been infected. I'm just using numbers from worldometers.info in case you wondered.
So what would I have people do? Slow it down. Take precautions.
What would I have the government do? Put aside the politics on this issue and just focus on the science and welfare of the people. Help people make the safe choice.
I don't care if sports, as a business industry, and all the thousands who benefit from it, have to file for unemployment.