Interesting NY Times analysis of the state of US-European relations:

aria

Former Moderator
Joined
Dec 4, 1977
Posts
39,546
For those keeping up on all the hoopla wink
I thought it tried to keep itself balanced and objective, giving a good description:

----------------------------
February 14, 2003
For Old Friends, Iraq Bares a Deep Rift
By RICHARD BERNSTEIN


BRUSSELS, Feb. 13 — As antiwar demonstrators prepare for what they are saying will be among the largest protest marches in history this weekend, many in Europe are asking themselves: how did trans-Atlantic relations, which were so good so recently, get so bad so quickly?

What has become clear to many here is that the Bush administration's preparations for a possible war with Iraq have provoked something far beyond the normal disagreements that sometimes take place among allies — as happened many times during the cold war and more recently over such questions as the Kyoto Protocol on global warming or the International Criminal Court, both favored in Europe but rejected in Washington.

Now, something deep and fundamental in the different views of Europe and the United States seems to have been brought to the surface by the Iraqi crisis.

Several hundred thousand antiwar protesters are expected Saturday on the streets of London alone, and it has become clear that the European public, from Britain to Poland, from "old" Europe to "new" Europe, is against war in Iraq.

Indeed, it is almost as if President Bush and his administration have unwittingly brought about a popular unity on this continent that belies the sharp differences among Europe's governments, which are openly divided on the question of a war to dislodge President Saddam Hussein.

With turmoil in NATO, divisions on the Security Council and undiplomatically angry words being shouted across the Atlantic, many here have started to worry about the prospect of permanent damage to the very structures on which European peace and prosperity have been based for the past half century and more.

"Everything's falling to pieces; that's really the case, I believe," Michael Stürmer, a professor of history and an editorial writer at the conservative German daily Die Welt, said in a recent conversation. "We have various problems, all knotted together."

It may be — and some diplomats here in the seat of the European community are predicting this — that over the next few weeks the trans-Atlantic gaps are going to be bridged and that such alarming spectacles as the current disarray in NATO will disappear.

In this optimistic view, after the report of United Nations inspectors on Friday, the United States will manage to get a resolution passed in the Security Council that will authorize force, and then the French, who have led the charge against war, will move from opposing military action to taking part in it.

But such an outcome looks remote today. One of the reasons the leaders of Germany and France have so publicly defied the United States — in the United Nations as well as in NATO — is that it is popular to do so.

Certainly, it did not look like that just a few weeks ago. To be sure, American opposition to the Kyoto treaty, coupled with a kind of visceral distrust of the Bush administration, might have prepared the ground for widespread European opposition to American plans for war in Iraq.

But essentially, last fall, sympathy prompted by the losses of Sept. 11 was widespread, and on the strategic front, developments seemed positive.

Both NATO and the European Union were in the process of historic and tandem expansions, incorporating the former members of the Eastern bloc and spreading the net of military security, economic expansion and democratic governments to the very borders of Russia.

A majority of Europeans supported the United States in earlier military actions, from the Persian Gulf war of 1991 to the Kosovo war of 1999 to the action in Afghanistan after Sept. 11.

Now all that has been turned on its head. The German government, for the first time in its postwar history, has put itself in direct conflict over a major issue with the United States, and this is a very big change.

For years, even though Germany was a close partner with France when it came to powering the European Community forward, it always resisted the Gaullist impulse to keep a certain distance from America.

In only a few weeks, however, Germany, Europe's largest country and its most important economy by far, has entered into a sort of informal coalition whose very identity is opposition to a policy that an American administration deems vital to the security of the United States and the world.

To some extent, the divisions express what some have identified as growing fundamental cultural differences between Europe and the United States.

Most conspicuously, in the wake of Sept. 11, a gap has opened up in the European and American perceptions of danger. It is not too much to say that while Americans intensely sense a new vulnerability and an urgent new need for self-defense, Europeans, after the end of the cold war, do not. Put bluntly, the people of Berlin now feel safer even as the people of New York sense a new danger.

"I do think that there are different perceptions of risks on both sides," Javier Solana, the foreign affairs chief for the European Union, said in an interview.

While Americans recently experienced an attack on their mainland, Europeans, as Mr. Solana put this, are enjoying "the most secure period of our history."

Americans, aware of European peace and security, believe that these happy conditions were made possible by 50 years of American military expenditures and protection, which they feel that Europeans appreciate less than they should.

Europeans, while aware of American military protection, perhaps because of it, feel safe, safer than they should feel, in the view of some here.

"My father fought in two wars, but it's impossible to think that my sons will fight in wars in Europe," Mr. Solana said. "But we are not aware enough of the danger of weapons of mass destruction, and we have to correct that. Weapons of mass destruction are not just an American problem, they are a problem for all of us."

It is not that Europeans, a clear majority of whom are shown by polls across Europe to be opposed to war, have any kind regard for Mr. Hussein and his government.

But few of them seem really to believe that Mr. Hussein is anything more than another of the world's dictators, perhaps one of the most cutthroat of them, but not the most dangerous. Kim Jong Il, North Korea's leader, probably holds that distinction in the minds of many Europeans.

By contrast, in many quarters in Europe, the public deems unbridled American power in the service of a pre-emptive strike to be the greater international menace.

"What happens in the future if China or Russia decide that some other country is a threat to them, and they decide to go to war?" asked an editor for a Germany publishing company attending an antiwar demonstration in Munich last weekend. "What are you going to do then?"

There are those analyzing European-American differences who find this discrepancy in the view of threats could have a long-term effect on the main organizations of American-European cooperation, especially NATO.

"The North Atlantic alliance could survive without a common threat," said Jonathan Eyal, director of studies at the Royal United Services Institute for Defense Studies, a British research organization. "Actually it has gone from strength to strength in the years since the end of the cold war. But it cannot survive without a common perception of what constitutes a threat."

Other cultural differences, many of them described in an article by Robert Kagan, an American analyst, read widely on both sides of the Atlantic, have been cited to explain the deeper reasons for the trans-Atlantic conflict. Europeans, embedded for decades by now in a community that has required ever more sacrifices of sovereignty, have come to see their future as part of a network of states, in which war, once so common and so devastating on this continent has come to be seen as illegitimate and unjustified, except in self-defense.

Americans, by contrast, are still fiercely attached to their sovereignty. Moreover, certain Americans, specifically the conservatives and neo-conservatives who make policy in the Bush administration, nurture a strong distrust of international organizations like the United Nations, which, in their view, is afflicted by a kind of unrealistic piousness, the first principle of which is that war is never morally justified except in cases of direct self-defense.

Matters are made more complicated by the fact that Europe itself, or, at least, European elites, are themselves deeply split on the question of Iraq.

Three weeks ago, a group of countries across Europe, a geographic sample extending from Britain in the north, to Italy in the south and to Poland in the east, signed a letter supporting the United States on Iraq.

A week later, on the very day of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell's speech at the United Nations, 10 former members of the Soviet bloc signed a similar statement.

"The intention of the letter was not to divide Europe, as was being said in Germany and France," Alexandr Vondra, a deputy foreign minister of the Czech Republic, said.

"But a few weeks ago there we were listening to Chirac's message on Iraq stating European policy to be peace, peace, peace, and he didn't consult with us about it," he said, referring to President Jacques Chirac of France. "We had to hear it on the TV news."

"In economic affairs, on matters of European integration, Germany and France can do what they want, I suppose," he continued, "but when our relations with the United States are at stake, I think they have to be much more careful."

The divide inside Europe could also have long-term implications, since, even with populations that are antiwar, the countries of the old East are viewed as both more closely attached to the United States than those of the West and more suspicious of France and Germany, Europe's powerful major instrument.

"No country in Eastern Europe is going to be dictated to by Paris or Berlin," Mr. Eyal, the research director in London, said.

Mr. Vondra said, "For 50 years the United States helped us; now it's time for once for us to help the United States."

But if the Iraq question has created obstacles to a common European foreign and defense policy, there appears to be little doubt that the main divide remains between the European public and the American desire for a military solution in Iraq. That divide does not look likely to narrow soon.
-------

<small>[ February 14, 2003, 04:55 PM: Message edited by: Bobak ]</small>
 

Average Joe

Calmer than you are.
20 Year Member
Joined
Sep 30, 2002
Posts
17,094
"In economic affairs, on matters of European integration, Germany and France can do what they want, I suppose," he continued, "but when our relations with the United States are at stake, I think they have to be much more careful."
That's pretty funny because some stores have put a ban on Evian water products, and France is the leading the exporter of water in the US, making for a nice loss of income for them.
 

Metal Slug

Handheld Hitter,
Joined
Oct 14, 2000
Posts
2,823
Hmmm, nice one Bob!

Interesting perspective.

{Q}
Moreover, certain Americans, specifically the conservatives and neo-conservatives who make policy in the Bush administration, nurture a strong distrust of international organizations like the United Nations, which, in their view, is afflicted by a kind of unrealistic piousness, the first principle of which is that war is never morally justified except in cases of direct self-defense.
{Q}

I'm a bit puzzled that everone doesnt see war that way?
That point of view is not regarded as "unrealistic piousness" by the majority of people in Europe.
 

Michael Yagami

I was wondering if I might get a rank with a Castl
Joined
May 1, 2002
Posts
5,928
Good read, thanks Bobak.
While the anti war sentiment is strong at the moment (especially in Europe) the protesters fail to see that they are able and have the freedom to protest thanks to 50+ years of US military interventions and defense (as stated in your post). Most people are fixated on the idea that this is purely an oil war. While oil politics are a part of this confilict, they are not the sum cause of this conflict. Saddam is a tyrannical madman with ties to various terrorist cells and he has bio and other weapons of mass destruction. He used bio weapons during Desert Storm and he will not think twice about using them again (be it on US troops, his own troops or civilians). He needs to be taken out. People must remeber that Peace is paid for by the blood of heroes. Freedom comes with a price.

Mike
 

Bluevoodu

Kyokugen's Student
Joined
Aug 22, 2001
Posts
3,189
Mike,

Unfortunately, peace will never be accomplished. Is a plausable goal.... but it will never be achieved unfortunately.

This is kind-of rash... stupid sounding to many...

but maybe we are witnessing the "start" of World War 3 :)
I mean, I don't want to start making people scared....I certainly am not. If it happens it happens, I know where I am going :) . But it seems that ever since the WTC bombings everything has been going down hill. our "semi" built up foreign relations are being flushed. There are more anti-us demonstrations... *I know they always happen, but they are increasing*

maybe we will get a glimpse of the end of the world in our life times :)
eh... maybe not.. Kind-of cool to think about it.

on that note... who do you think will be the anti-christ lol :)


I guess I like conspiracy theories, and stuff of that nature.... Fascinated is more of the word to use.

†B†V†
 

gunrock46

Dodgeball Yakuza
Joined
May 5, 2002
Posts
625
Bluevoodu:
Mike,

...but maybe we are witnessing the "start" of World War 3 :)

I guess I like conspiracy theories, and stuff of that nature.... Fascinated is more of the word to use.

†B†V†
I was thinking the same thing the other day. It COULD happen in theory. Just get your looting gloves and ski masks ready. And remember the saying "If the gloves don't fit, you must acquit."
 

rugal2000

, Troll Me, , Cuz I is 3lit3, ,
Joined
Aug 31, 2000
Posts
1,732
I was watching Jon Snows analysis on channel 4. One argument they explored was that european governments are finally seeing the sham of equal partnership and the reality of a Bush American empire, where any international law and organisations can be overruled by the USA at will.
Anyway thats what they were talking about.

<small>[ February 15, 2003, 02:15 PM: Message edited by: rugal2000 ]</small>
 
Top